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. Editorial

Keep Vermont Green: Send Money 
By Martin Harris

One of the many Vermont NGO’s (non-governmental-organizations) which I hadn’t heard of until, somehow, one of its press releases fell onto my (electronic) desk is VTCECH, an un-pronounceable acronym which stands for Vermont Campaign to End Childhood Hunger. Like most such NGO’s, it’s partially taxpayer-funded-but-never-voted (who knew?) to the tune of some 16% of its budget (see the website at vtnohunger.org) but this column isn’t about "taxation without representation" or "your-tax-dollars-at-work" arguments, it’s about an assertion within the press release which states that "each Food Stamp dollar that is allocated to a recipient generates $1.84 in economic activity". That assertion assumes it’s actually spent for food, and not sold for cash, as in, say, Chicago, but I digress; let me return to the "multiplier effect" which, all you former Econ 101-attenders will recall, occurs when wealth created and money earned in an economy, say from the conversion of sunlight into wheat, is then spent and re-spent multiple times through the various non-primary sectors. In agriculture, the green-eye-shade folks who analyze such things now report, the multiplier for wealth created in that primary sector is 7. For a government entitlement, we’re now told by VTCECH, it’s 1.84.

Like the present tense of the verb "to be" (older high school grads will recognize "is") that claim needs a little Clintonian parsing, because, again as you Econ 101-attenders will recall, the true multiplier effect of governmental transfer payments is 1: a dollar in, a dollar out. Here’s the appropriate paragraph from an Econ 1 Handout, UCal-Berkeley. You can check it out on the web.

"To stimulate the economy, while maintaining a balanced budget, the government can increase spending and increase taxes by an equal amount. This pays for the spending increase by raising taxes. The economy will grow, but by less than either government spending or tax multipliers. With balanced-budget fiscal policy, real GDP will increase by the amount of the balanced-budget spending increase. The value of the balanced-budget multiplier is one." (Emphasis added.)
You can see the logic of this: whatever government spends in one area boosts the economy to exactly the same extent that the tax-collection to fund the spending does to depress the economy everywhere else. Thus, if you accept the notion of an extra 84 cents pumped into the Vermont economy for each dollar of Food Stamp spending, you ought to (some folks with a political agenda won’t) accept the other half of the equation: that the economy has been shrunk by 84 cents per dollar wherever taxes have been collected for Food Stamps, and that presumably includes Vermont. Net result: a zero-zilch-nichevo impact on the national economy. The only way the Vermont economy can come out ahead on Food Stamps is to encourage moreintra-State stamp use while shifting the cost-tax burden to other states, which is what VTCECH seems to be advocating in its press release: "We need to get the word out that using Food Stamps not only helps stabilize the family food budget, but they are also one of the most effective means of increasing the flow of federal dollars into Vermont communities during an economic downturn". Yes, indeed: Keep Vermont Green, Send Money. OPM or Other Peoples’ Money.

Since this is an opinion column, here’s my opinion: self-serving advocacy statements like these (after all, as Food Stamp go, so go VTCECH and the jobs of its staff) reveal a disregard for moral clarity which, perhaps naively, I find unsettling. Quoting again from the Clinton’s, it requires a willing suspension of disbelief to accept that the reasonably sophisticated VTCECH leadership, specifically CEO Robert Dostis, doesn’t understand the absence of a multiplier effect when tax-and-spend transfer payments are involved, and that VTCECH leadership sincerely believes that Food Stamps legitimately stimulate economic activity, just like any private-sector wealth-creating activity. I suspect they know better but make the argument anyway. What the heck, it might fly.
 

Martin Harris is a former Chairman of Citizens for Property Rights

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